Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000651 0.000745 0.000844 0.000956 0.001081 0.001213 0.001365
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000496 0.000623 0.000768 0.000944 0.001151 0.001384 0.001666
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000406 0.000545 0.000711 0.000921 0.001177 0.001478 0.001852
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000350 0.000497 0.000682 0.000924 0.001230 0.001598 0.002071
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000309 0.000463 0.000663 0.000934 0.001286 0.001720 0.002290
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000264 0.000417 0.000622 0.000910 0.001295 0.001781 0.002432
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000225 0.000374 0.000582 0.000883 0.001295 0.001828 0.002555
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000200 0.000349 0.000563 0.000881 0.001326 0.001913 0.002728
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000179 0.000326 0.000546 0.000879 0.001357 0.001998 0.002901
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000158 0.000302 0.000523 0.000868 0.001373 0.002061 0.003045
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000138 0.000277 0.000498 0.000851 0.001377 0.002108 0.003167
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000129 0.000269 0.000497 0.000869 0.001434 0.002228 0.003391
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000119 0.000260 0.000494 0.000885 0.001488 0.002346 0.003618
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000239 0.000472 0.000869 0.001493 0.002396 0.003751
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000219 0.000448 0.000848 0.001490 0.002432 0.003864
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000208 0.000439 0.000851 0.001521 0.002519 0.004050
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000200 0.000434 0.000860 0.001564 0.002622 0.004263
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000184 0.000412 0.000838 0.001555 0.002648 0.004362
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000167 0.000389 0.000812 0.001539 0.002663 0.004444
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000158 0.000379 0.000810 0.001561 0.002734 0.004611
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000150 0.000370 0.000809 0.001583 0.002808 0.004783
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000140 0.000357 0.000798 0.001590 0.002856 0.004916
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000129 0.000341 0.000782 0.001585 0.002885 0.005022